Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.007660 0.008606 0.009639 0.010852 0.012242 0.013789 0.015645
2025-02-02 0.006379 0.007718 0.009308 0.011346 0.013908 0.017042 0.021200
2025-02-09 0.005467 0.006937 0.008781 0.011286 0.014637 0.019011 0.025238
2025-02-16 0.004888 0.006446 0.008489 0.011399 0.015497 0.021152 0.029701
2025-02-23 0.004354 0.005927 0.008065 0.011236 0.015902 0.022651 0.033403
2025-03-02 0.004019 0.005630 0.007896 0.011380 0.016719 0.024792 0.038310
2025-03-09 0.003678 0.005282 0.007606 0.011295 0.017159 0.026382 0.042540
2025-03-16 0.003290 0.004826 0.007106 0.010828 0.016929 0.026862 0.044965
2025-03-23 0.003056 0.004577 0.006891 0.010774 0.017341 0.028413 0.049425
2025-03-30 0.002972 0.004549 0.007012 0.011265 0.018702 0.031719 0.057531
2025-04-06 0.002722 0.004237 0.006649 0.010911 0.018560 0.032346 0.060654
2025-04-13 0.002510 0.003969 0.006337 0.010610 0.018471 0.033047 0.064004
2025-04-20 0.002361 0.003801 0.006187 0.010599 0.018949 0.034945 0.070273
2025-04-27 0.002306 0.003786 0.006298 0.011070 0.020398 0.038942 0.081794
2025-05-04 0.002170 0.003622 0.006133 0.011012 0.020807 0.040893 0.089111
2025-05-11 0.002073 0.003516 0.006062 0.011122 0.021558 0.043654 0.098829
2025-05-18 0.001947 0.003349 0.005864 0.010963 0.021733 0.045182 0.105822
2025-05-25 0.001872 0.003268 0.005819 0.011103 0.022552 0.048255 0.117341
2025-06-01 0.001775 0.003140 0.005673 0.011021 0.022877 0.050232 0.126367
2025-06-08 0.001641 0.002933 0.005362 0.010566 0.022318 0.050033 0.129374
2025-06-15 0.001564 0.002830 0.005246 0.010514 0.022671 0.052106 0.139283
2025-06-22 0.001550 0.002848 0.005369 0.010991 0.024319 0.057674 0.160794
2025-06-29 0.001451 0.002692 0.005131 0.010647 0.023954 0.057977 0.166168